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Tue 20 Jan 2026 • 14:23

Net migration to rise under Labour despite repeated vows to slash arrival numbers

Net migration to rise under Labour despite repeated vows to slash arrival numbers

# Net Migration to Increase Under Labour Despite Pledges to Reduce Numbers

## The Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts an increase in net migration levels, contradicting Labour's promises to lower arrivals.

Recent analysis from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has determined that net migration numbers are set to rise significantly under a Labour government, despite their repeated commitments to decrease these figures. The OBR has projected that net migration will initially decline but ultimately rebound and reach higher levels by the conclusion of the current Parliament.

The timeline for these projections suggests a concerning trend, as Labour's promises appear increasingly untenable. Initially, the net migration numbers were expected to fall; however, as the OBR details, this is likely to be a temporary phase before a substantial uptick. Specifically, this rise is anticipated to occur within the term outlined by Labour's governance.

The implications of rising net migration levels are substantial, drawing criticism from various quarters concerned about the impact on public resources, housing, and community cohesion. These projections present a stark contrast to Labour's assurances and have sparked renewed debates regarding immigration policies in the UK.

In light of these developments, members of the public and opposition figures are calling for clarity and more concrete plans from Labour on how they intend to address net migration effectively. Many stakeholders are keenly aware that the consequences of high migration could have far-reaching effects across numerous sectors in the short and long term.