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Fri 19 Dec 2025 • 19:24

Bitcoin's 'Realized Cap' Exceeds $1 Trillion, Challenging Market Cycle Norms

Bitcoin's 'Realized Cap' Exceeds $1 Trillion, Challenging Market Cycle Norms

# Bitcoin's 'Realized Cap' Surges Past $1 Trillion, Challenging Four-Year Cycle Theory

The cryptocurrency Bitcoin has achieved a historic milestone, with its "realized cap" exceeding $1 trillion, a trend that raises questions about the validity of the traditional four-year market cycle. This impressive valuation reflects the cumulative value of all Bitcoin in circulation, calculated based on the price when each coin last moved.

Currently, Bitcoin's realized cap stands as a testament to its vitality in the market, suggesting that the digital currency could be on the brink of a significant upward trajectory. Analysts are observing this development closely, as it diverges from the expected patterns typically associated with Bitcoin's market cycles.

Reportedly, this record valuation has prompted some experts to reconsider their market predictions. “In my view, bitcoin is materially underpricing the prevailing macro backdrop, to a degree last seen during the Covid recession and the FTX collapse, despite no signs of a U.S. recession and evidence of re-accelerating growth,” observed Dragosch. His commentary highlights a potential disconnect between Bitcoin's current price and the broader economic indicators.

Such a significant realized cap could lead to unprecedented shifts in investor sentiment. Market watchers are left to ponder whether Bitcoin can maintain this momentum as its potential continues to be assessed under evolving economic conditions.

The implication of this increase in realized cap suggests that Bitcoin may have unlocked new growth potential, warranting further scrutiny from both investors and analysts alike. With market strategies potentially shifting in light of these developments, the future appears promising for this leading cryptocurrency.

This report is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.